Sunday, 2 September 2018

Asamankese Cocoa Farmers' Own M&E Report on Orchard Renewal and Hybrid Varieties


hybrid cocoa plant at Asamankese Seedlings Production Unit
Photo by Konstantine Vekua




The Asamankese farmer talking about his experience on how diseases and drought affect hybrid cocoa more than older varieties




Promotion of hybrid cocoa variety and renewal of aged cocoa farms with this variety is one of the corner stones of confectionery industry's and national governments' efforts for the sustainable transformation of cocoa farming. It is described as a solution to reduce deforestation, increase yield per farmer and per 1 size unit of land and ultimately to increase the income of the farmers. You can read annual, impact or progress reports how many new seedlings have been produced and distributed, but:

1. have you read what is the real field performance of this variety?

2. what are adopter farmers opinions and results?
3. is the variety helping to achieve the objectives of reduction of deforestation, higher yields and higher incomes?

I think most of you have not seen answers to these questions. Until now. I am happy to share with you farmers' own evaluation of this variety based on which you can judge what actual contribution hybrid cocoa variety provides to the objectives of improving farmers' incomes and reduction of cocoa system's demand for expansion through deforestation. All the data you will read now is from my quantitative survey of 90 cocoa farmers in Asamankese district of Eastern region of Ghana. 


Let's start. 



Table 1: interviewed farmers






Finding 1: Majority of farmers base their assessment on their own experience/observation of hybrid variety's performance. So they have practical experience about it.








Finding 2: To check/verify answers to first question, farmers were asked if they have already planted hybrid cocoa varieties. Majority of farmers have indeed done so.







Finding 3: Checking how industry's declared advantage of "shorter time to first crop"of hybrid cocoa has indeed been the case with farmers. The result: it varies.






Finding 4: Checking how industry's declared advantage of "higher yield"of hybrid cocoa has indeed been the case with farmers. The result: YES but only 44% of farmers report double yield.






Finding 5: Do farmers trust the quality and true-to-type of seedlings from SPUs
The result:  YES, most of them do.






Finding 6: Higher yield is fine but how much of that higher yield can a farmer keep till harvest time, if diseases hit? Result: NO, hybrid variety is less resistant to diseases than older variety. This will reduce maximum attainable yield.





Finding 7: Again, higher yielding potential is great but, if farmer has a drought, will this potential materialize? Result: NO, hybrid variety will yield less if drought hits farmers, i.e hybrid variety is not Climate-Change proof (unless you irrigate, which is beyond fantasy in West Africa)




Finding 8: What about annual maintenance? Does hybrid variety require farmer to go to the farm and do more works old variety? Result: YES, hybrid variety increases system's demand for more labour and as level of even semi-mechanization is zero all this extra labour is manual. As farmers do not have funds to use only paid labour, some of the labour may be unpaid child labour. Highly Likely.



Finding 9: What about marketability? Can farmers sell all of hybrid cocoa beans at market price? Result: NO, because bean size of hybrids, especially during light crop is smaller than that of old variety so they have to sell them at discount? 



Finding 10: Do farmers have any incentive from the market for adopting hybrid cocoa variety? Result: NO, purchasing clerks do not ask to pack hybrids separately as there is no separate, higher price for hybrid.


Finding 11: Why there is no market price incentive for hybrids? does hybrid cocoa not make chocolate tastier? Result: YES, farmers do think that by producing hybrid cocoa they help to make chocolate tastier but there is no reward for this to them.


Finding 12: Does hybrid cocoa replaces forests or old and dead cocoa trees? Result: 51% of farmers used hybrids to replace old, usually totally unproductive trees but 47% of farmers planted hybrid cocoa on "free lands"






Summary:

What encourages planting hybrids?



What discourages planting hybrid?




Friday, 17 August 2018

Affordable and scale-able innovation for cocoa farmers







4 minute video about the tool:

https://youtu.be/o2LoiYcefdw

What would you say about a new cocoa pod break tool which:
  1. breaks the pod and separates beans from unwanted placenta in one intuitive and fluid motion.
  2. preconditions beans for proper fermentation - if you are a chocolate company you are assured that no off-taste placentas took part in making your product.
  3. by default, totally eliminates one type of manual work from cocoa chain - does it automatically not reduce the child labour and is this not our shared objective?
Many of you have watched Hans Rosling’s TED talk about how adoption of washing machine technology solved hygienic (clean clothes), environmental (river pollution and wood for fire), gender (more freedom for women), educational (mothers now can spend more time to help kids better prepare home-works for school) problems. If in 1950s, there were as many NGOs as now, the fact that millions of women in Europe had to go to riverside, collect wood, set fire and spend half a day to manually wash clothes, would have been considered as a persistent social problem. There would have been documentaries, conferences, awareness campaigns and commitments and pledges to “eradicate it” by 1950, then 1955, 1960 and so on and so on. However, without technology, this problem would have never been solved.
The similarity between child labour, generally hard and long manual labour in cocoa and washing clothes by the river is that awareness campaigns and trainings have long reached maximum of their potential and as we can see it is impossible to see 2020 or even 2025 targets being fulfilled if there is no systemic approach with concept and plan to find, test and adopt labour saving (any kind of labour, be it child or adult), tools and processes.
I have worked in cocoa sector since 2013, starting with quantitative survey of 90 cocoa farmers to build the insights into existing problems and opportunities. Analyses of collected data and the needs of confectionery brands prompted me to choose affordable, sustainability oriented innovations and implementation models as my next focus area. I wanted to find real tools and simpler process flows which would be affordable to cocoa farmers. I would like to share, after initiating and organizing several field trials, how the process of finding new cocoa farm technologies looks like for those who tried it.
Setting Objective/Idea: reduce NN of and duration of manually done works in cocoa post-harvest while lowering the cost and difficultly of the process (farmer’s need) and resulting in better and uniform quality of fermentation (industry’s need).
How: Look at how pod collection, pod breaking, bean-placenta separation, draining, fermentation and drying are done now. Then think:
  1. which two tools could be merged into one tool or one process instead of two tools or two processes?
  2. can one tool break the pod and the same tool separate beans from placenta?
Who will invent it?
Technology partners: it may seem unlikely but one would be surprised by how many top quality partners can actually be found. For example Stanford University runs the program called Extreme Affordability. What do they do? They look for affordable solutions for the poorest from light to medical equipment to hazelnut de-husker. Cocoa pod breaker Pelle Bongo's first prototype was invented not at some agricultural university but at high tech Stanford campus. The video above is a documentary about first trials of this tool among cocoa farmers. You may notice how happy farmers feel: they see the tool as something from future, from future of cocoa farming.
What is situation now?
Big and smaller confectionery brands have the interest and the need to transform farming but focus has been on training and technical advice on existing practices. for example, training on how to safely handle machete, how not to take kids to pod breaking work, how to separate beans from placenta during a separate stage of work, how to turn beans 2 times during fermentation etc. If farmers really follow these rules, they will need even more labour and these training would unintentionally contribute to higher demand for manpower and higher levels of child labour too.

Instead it is better to give farmers affordable yet innovative tools which will do the job in shorter time and by default reduce system's need for more manual labour.



Thursday, 3 October 2013

Cocoa farmers' own priorities

Our research subject was to study the constraints for replanting aged cocoa farms with hybrid cocoa varieties but we asked questions to capture wide range of possible constraints as well as possible alternatives available to the farmers. Some of questions tried to see if farmers viewed a better farm maintenance as an alternative to replanting and as a means to increasing yields and incomes. 

Most of surveyed cocoa farmers (73%) are not interested in major overhaul of their cocoa farms such as cutting old but still bearing cocoa trees and replanting with new trees. They prefer to be able to start using fertilizer in existing farm and drive the plants for higher yields in this way. 




Graph 1: Farmers choices between increased inputs or replanting with hybrids

In above question, the answer option of replanting aged trees with hybrid varieties was still one of the two choices. In next 2 questions, farmers were fully free to select their own most important issues and concerns in their cocoa farming business. See what responses they gave: 


Graph 2: Farmers' preferred conversation topics 


Graph 3: Farmers' main worries

As you can see on these 2 graphs none of them seem to view replanting as one of their main issues/concerns. Affordability of inputs and disease management i.e. maintenance is the priority for most of the farmers. 

Why farmers prefer to ''try a better maintenance''?

1. Own observations. They are well aware of direct impact of inadequate maintenance (lack of fertilizer usage, inadequate or late spraying) on their yields. See the graph below:

Graph 4: Farmers' assessment of loss in cocoa yields 
due to diseases

2. Trained awareness. Almost all of our 90 surveyed farmers have received various training through extension officers. They have been ''sensitized'' on the relationship between yield and spraying/fertilization/pruning

3. Borrowed inputs. Almost all licensed cocoa buying companies tried and continue to offer fertilizers to their supplier farmers and later deduct the cost of fertilizers from purchased cocoa value. Such interventions show to engaged as well as not engaged but nearby living farmers the difference the fertilizer makes.


This particular post is about farmers' own priority formation not about what other stakeholders do or how to scale ''better maintenance''. These issues have been partially addressed in another post of this blog. 






Monday, 30 September 2013

Will Your Kids Continue Cocoa Farming?

There is a concern in confectionery industry that cocoa farming is losing its attractiveness among next generation. We also asked this question to our 90 surveyed farmers in 10 communities of Asamankese district in Eastern Ghana. Here is what we got in response:


But we asked one more question: What will happen to your cocoa farm in case your kids will not want to farm it? We asked this question to all 90 farmers. 98% of them responded that other farmers will buy or rent the cocoa farm, left by their kids, and those other farmers will continue cocoa farming.  The answer options also included ''it will be converted to other cash crop'' but none of 90 farmers selected this option. The graph below should suggest that surveyed cocoa farmers are, for the time being, confident that cocoa farming remains one of most sought agricultural activities in their communities among all available crop alternatives. 



Where does such a ''confidence'' come from? Next graph might give the answer to this question. 98% of surveyed farmers believe that cocoa beans prices will increase a bit every year over next 10 years. This itself comes from Ghana's government policy of enforcing stable price as well as various assistance programs such as mass spraying, free clearance and monetary compensation of swollen shoot infected trees and extension services and training funded by government as well as industry.

However recent suspension of free clearance and monetary compensation for infected trees and planned phasing out of the mass spray program may change farmers' attitudes. There are other factors too such as increased attractiveness of alternative existing or new cash crops. 


Wednesday, 28 August 2013

Off-farm Income and Cocoa Farmers

During our randomized survey of 90 smallholder cocoa farmers in 10 communities of Asamankese district in Eastern Ghana, we found that 69% of them had off-farm income generating activities. Mostly they were trading food, some were tapping palm wine, some had chain-saws and were cutting trees for a fee. One couple worked at rubber plant. Almost none had any full-time ''salary'' job, however, such as teacher or nurse or civil servant.









Figure 1: Availability of Off-farm Income 

Immediate first reaction could be: is this a threat to cocoa supply chain? do farmers find off-farm income as alternative to cocoa farming? do farmers with off-farm income have less time and incentive to take care of their cocoa farms? 

Relationship between off-farm income 
and Cocoa yields

During data analysis in SPSS (statistical software), we found some counter-intuitive results: farmers with off-farm incomes, had higher mean cocoa productivity per 1ha of land. To avoid mistakes, we also checked if there were any ''hidden'' differences such as the mean size of cocoa farms between off-farm and no-off-farm income farmers because another data set from the same randomized survey suggested difference in mean yields depending on cocoa farm size. Yet, we saw that there was no significant difference in cocoa farm size (''extra'' income farmers had on average 2,86ha and no-off-farm income farmers had on average 3,14ha). 




Figure 2: Difference in Mean Cocoa Yields per 1ha between the farmers with and without off-farm income


Now, the next questions are: how come? do they spend some of off-farm income on cocoa farm maintenance? If they all say that they do not buy fertilizers, then, what do ''extra'' income farmers do to have higher yields? are there differences between different levels of off-farm income earners in terms of productivity?

Tests with and without outliers ( in the 2nd run we removed 5 cases with very high reported yields) showed  statistically significant differences in mean yields between 6 levels of off-farm income farmer groups: Farmers who had off-farm income level at 3001-4000 GHC/year had significantly higher yields. It is interesting to see how mean yields per 1ha change with income levels: 

1) farmers with no off-farm income yield a bit more than those with up 1000 GHC/year off-farm income
2) farmers with 1001-2000 GHC/years yield more than those with up to 1000 GHC/year
3) farmers with 2001-3000 GHC/year yield less than farmers with 1001-2000 GHC/year
4) farmers with 3001-4000 GHC/year yield more (and most than any other group) than farmers with 2001-3000 GHC/year
5) for next 2 groups average yields are declining





Figure 3: Differences in mean cocoa yields per 1ha among different off-farm income level groups


How could these differences be explained? 

Do those farmers who have no off-farm income, i.e. no off-farm distractions, yield more than those, with low off-farm income, because they do not have to go to markets, stay mostly at home and have more time to take care of their farm? And those who have low off-farm income, yield less cocoa because they earn least from off-farm activities while still had to be away, meaning neither farm gets attention nor enough money is made to hire labour for farm maintenance? Then, why farmers with 2001-3000 GHC/year off-farm income yield less cocoa than those with 1001-2000 GHC/year off-farm income? Is this because 2001-3000 GHC is some kind of transition level from petty trade to more regular commerce and they need to commit more time and efforts to make that ''jump''? Then, this ''jump'' is probably difficult to make and they are overstretched? What about those who earn 3001-4000 GHC/year from off-farm activities and also happen to have highest mean yields of cocoa? Why their next level farmers' (4001-5000 GHC off-farm income) cocoa yields decline again compared to previous group and so does a ''5001 GHC and more'' group? Is 3001-4000 GHC off-farm income and balance of time and efforts, needed to make it, a kind of threshold above which, higher they earn, lower the urgency and motivation to take proper care of cocoa farm starts? These are just some of questions which we did not have time to check this time.


Coming back to general difference in mean yields between off-farm income earners and non-earners, where is the explanation for higher average yields of farmers with off-farm income source? Our research subject was constraints for replanting aged cocoa farms and we did not go deeper on this, especially during data gathering, we did not yet know that SPSS will show the difference in mean yields between farmers with and without off-farm income. However, we assume that the answer is in more paid labour usage by ''extra'' income farmers. These include accumulating efficiency gains from weeding, pruning, spraying and harvesting activities. They do not buy fertilizer because it requires lump sums at a go but they do use labour from their own communities whom they can pay gradually or later. 

What to expect?

Now whether off-farm activities are a threat to cocoa farming, the answer is not categorical. All the problems that cocoa farming faces, do not exist only for cocoa. If farmers do not have money to buy fertilizers, the same farmers are your customers if you set up a small kiosk and start trading cola and biscuits in the village. If the roads' condition affects cocoa input availability and cost, then the same bad roads damage your car if you decide to become a local taxi driver and significant part of profits made from carrying passengers, have to be spent on repairing and spare parts. These kind of ''shared obstacles'' cap the upside and limit the step size to jump from your current ''quality of life'' to another, radically different one.

Some of these opinions were expressed by one female cocoa farmer in Kwaboanta community. She was engaged in food trading and we asked her if she was given 5,000 GHC, where would she put them, into trading business or farming? Watch the video below to see her response and explanations.




Video 1: Cocoa farmer with off-farm trading activity speaks about her choices

Again, our research subject was not to deeply study relationships between off-farm income and cocoa farming. The only relationship which our survey suggests is in mean yields. We cannot claim anything more than this and more specific studies are needed for more accurate understanding. We did not have time to ask more questions on this to each of 90 farmer.

As another farmer said, his family will not use income from trading for fertilizer purchase because it will greatly reduce ''working capital'' of their trading business. This may suggest that they might be putting some of cocoa income into trading because ''turnover ratio'' in trading is higher. Watch this farmer's response in next video.



Video 2: Cocoa farmer explains why he cannot use off-farm income for farm



Tuesday, 27 August 2013

Smallholder Cocoa Farmers and Competing Forces for ''Reinvestment''

Already from previous experience with Georgian micro-scale hazelnut and kiwifruit growers, I was, as many others, interested about the issue of what one of my former colleague called ''a missed reinvestment''. Why most of micro-scale farmers, despite knowing the benefits of fertilizers, do not or can not save some part of their crop income to buy and apply fertilizers and have more of the crop next year?

My personal opinion on this (so far! and it is evolving and may change) is that the gain from fertilizer application cannot, in absolute terms, change farmer's ''livelihood'' radically. In percentage wise it looks nice: 50% more cocoa or hazelnut, or even 100% more in some cases. However in absolute terms it does not look so radical: if you have 320kg of cocoa this year meaning say 1060 GHC ( 530US$) you may have in best case 640kg next year, meaning 2120 GHC ( 1060US$). Then there is ''time value'' factor which makes it look distant: you will have to spend money today and see benefit in 6-7 months. You already know that your life will not radically change if you earn 1060US$ a year instead of 530US$. Actually, the ''new'' net income is 1060US$ - cost of fertilizer - ''old'' expenses. In case of Ghanaian cocoa farmers, recommended dose of fertilizers per 1ha would cost, at 2013 prices, about 385 GHC. So net new profit would be: 2120 GHC - 385 GHC - pre-fertilizer expenses, i.e. 1735 GHC - pre-fertilizer expenses versus of 1060 GHC - pre-fertilizer expenses. This means net new benefit of 675 GHC/ha per year. 

But today, you have other, more urgent needs in the family and you have to address them. Your son is marrying and you cannot let yourself spoil his wedding day. Then there is a funeral of relative and you cannot go against the society and not to make contribution. One of our interviewed farmers said that he had to make almost 1000 GHC contribution to the funeral costs of his relative and he said that this tradition was wrong and outdated but when we asked him what happens if he gathers his neighbours and friends and suggests to change this tradition, he said ''oh no,no, I will be viewed as bad man''. In his case the ''costs'' which his society will impose on him, because of his revision of existing rules, are higher than benefit he may have from directing those funds to his farm.

In the mean time, farmers make ''strategic'' choices. It is not that they do not at all. For instance, spending significant part of cocoa income on education of kids is the proof of this. However, maybe with this investment into education, they hope that education can radically change at least their kids' life and they are willing to commit to it.

It is this different attitude towards ''invest in fertilizer or in education'' that makes me (so far) think that perception about how radical is the outcome in each options that makes them to choose.

The rest you can watch and hear yourself in following videos. Farmers were asked about why they cannot/do not reinvest into fertilizers and they answered sincerely where their priorities were.




Video 1: You have 10 000 GHC from cocoa sales, 
what are the reasons 
why you never used some of that money to buy fertilizers




Video 2: If you won 10 000 GHC in lottery 
how would you spend them?



















Cocoa farming and other cash crops



Which other cash crops farmers grow or think about?

80% of our randomly surveyed 90 cocoa farmers in 10 communities of Asamankese district of eastern Ghana grow at least one other cash crop.




Mostly they grow oil palm, some grow orange, some others grow vegetables such as pepper, and only one in 90 said that he recently planted rubber. One more farmer said he grows coconuts. There were farmers who grow several of these crops together.

In our questionnaire, we had these questions to see if the reason why they did not replant aged cocoa farms with new cocoa plants was their preference to other crops. Although, this was not our main research problem we still were very curious and asked ''off-survey'' questions to some of them and also visited nearby rubber plantation and the company which manages the rubber estate.

Farmers still believe in cocoa as being their main crop but this confidence seems to largely be dependent on special attention which cocoa industry is receiving from the Government of Ghana and from global chocolate industry. Sometimes, while talking with farmers on this issue you get the feeling that it's on the life support and you ask what would happen if government and industry were to stop all those programs such as extension services, training, research, breeding and seed production units, subsidized spraying and fertilizer schemes etc. In each district of Ghana, there is local branch of Cocobod with office, staff and vehicles. Farmers view it as a strong signal and they think that this support will never stop.

On the other hand, being constantly on life-support makes them to expect more and more. In parallel, they say that other cash crop interest groups also provide some support to ''their'' farmers such as equipment to extract oil from oil palm, outgrowing schemes for planting rubber etc. 

The video below shows how cocoa farmer mentions these moments and expects something to be responded by his stakeholders [cocoa] side:







However, the same farmer also explained why he is not so attracted to alternative cash crops. Main reason is lack of confidence in stability of output markets especially in ''new'' crops. He gives example of sunflowers. There was a time when sunflower growing was extensively marketed to growers and many of them planted but there were not enough buyers or price was not sufficient and farmers lost confidence in sunflower. Watch the next video: